The Journal of Grey System ›› 2024, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (3): 37-50.

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Grey Generalized Stochastic Petri-Bayesian Network Testability Model for High-reliability Complex Systems 

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  1. 1. College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, Jiangsu, 211106, P.R. China  2. Institute for Grey Systems Studies , Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Nanjing 211106, P.R. China  
  • Online:2024-06-21 Published:2024-06-20

Abstract: Aiming at the issues of paucity of fault information, complexity of functional logic relationships between fault modes, and uncertainty of fault information and its propagation path in the testability analysis of high-reliability complex systems, a grey generalized stochastic Petri-Bayesian network (Grey-GSPBN) testability model is proposed in this study. Firstly, typical failure modes and their severity are obtained through the failure modes, effects and analysis (FMECA) study, and the failure modes are coded and coloured accordingly to construct the generalized stochastic Petri network (GSPN) model. Then, the correlation matrix between failure modes and test points is established by using the reachability algorithm, based on which the equivalent isomorphic grey Bayesian network (GBN) model is established, and grey number theory is introduced to integrate multi-source grey information to determine the grey prior and posterior distribution matrix of testability indexes. Finally, the grey probabilistic testability evaluation matrix is calculated using GreyGSPBN model, and the testability indicators are analyzed. A certain liquid rocket engine system is taken as a case to verify the scientificity and superiority of the proposed model in the testability modelling of high-reliability complex systems, and the model can provide a valuable reference for engineering applications

Key words: Testability model, Generalized stochastic Petri nets, Grey Bayesian network, Multi-source grey information, Fault detection rate